TA بیت‌کوین / موقعیت مقیاسی

ساختار بازار توسط Joop
—————
Bitcoin TA / Scaling position

من از بازه‌های زمانی پایین‌تر (4hrs) فقط برای ورود به معامله استفاده می‌کنم، اما این بار برای اهداف آموزشی از آن برای TA استفاده می‌کنیم

Macro → Downtrend
Currently → Relief rally:
• Probably a 3 waves + an extended third wave
• In the third wave or still in makin the first (time will tell)
• Not clear if it’s a wedge or an asymmetrical triangle (doesn’t matter), the bottom of the pattern is important (Green line breakout)

TWO ways to trade the current move (only short):

1. Blue: breakout of the green line + retest + candle confirmation

2. Purple (Scaling position): Scaling into a position & gradually increasing the size as price moves
• one way is support / resistance, where we enter at the resistances (in a downtrend)
• 2nd we can short at the Fib levels (yellow)

Downside to scaling position:
• Market can stay irrational longer than U can stay solvent
• No guarantee the rally is only a relief rally
• Margin & liquidation risk
• Psychological pressure
• Position size can become too large

A predefined risk model is a must:
• Max position size + loss
• Invalidation level
• Sufficient liquidity to survive

My strategy:
• The best case = Golden pocket (yellow) but I’m gonna enter a scaling position at 0.5% Fib (if price pumps)
• Second choice = Blue → Breakout + retest (if price dumps)

Caveat: Scaling position is High Risk & No one should ever try to outrun the market

Stay blessed