الگوی سر و شانه: نشانه‌ای که روند ممکن است تغییر کند

1. A Strong Trend Starts to Slow

Every trend reaches a point where buyers begin to lose momentum. The Head and Shoulders pattern often appears after a long rally, giving traders an early sign that the market could be preparing for a reversal.

2. Three Peaks Tell the Story

The first peak forms the left shoulder, the second and highest peak becomes the head, and the final smaller peak creates the right shoulder. This structure shows that buyers are no longer able to push prices to new highs.

3. The Neckline Is the Key Level

A horizontal or slightly sloping neckline connects the recent lows. As long as the price stays above this level, the pattern is incomplete. A close below the neckline confirms that sellers have taken control.

4. Volume Adds Confidence

During the formation of the pattern, buying volume often decreases. When the neckline breaks with higher volume, it increases the probability of a genuine move rather than a false breakout.

5. Managing the Trade

Many traders wait for a candle close below the neckline before entering a position. A stop loss is commonly placed above the right shoulder to protect against unexpected price reversals.

6. Estimating the Target

The expected target is calculated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting the same distance below the breakout point. This provides a clear and logical profit objective.

7. Final Thoughts

The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most trusted reversal formations because it reflects a gradual shift from buyer strength to seller control. Instead of predicting the market, successful traders wait for confirmation, manage risk carefully, and let price action guide their decisions.